The track record of economists in predicting events is monstrously bad. It is beyond simplification; it is like medieval medicine.
Love without sacrifice is like theft
True, our knowledge does grow, but it is threatened by greater increases in confidence, which make our increase in knowledge at the same time an increase in confusion, ignorance, and conceit.
The world we live in is vastly different from the world we think we live in.
Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don't confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.
Governments that try to shoot for a surplus hardly ever reach it.